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2011年4月20日星期三

DealBook: Goldman Sachs slow growth raises concern on Wall Street

Goldman Sachs paid off a lifeline from Berkshire Hathaway, Warren E. Buffett's company.Pankaj Nangia/Bloomberg paid Goldman Sachs news from a lifeline by Warren E. Buffett company, Berkshire Hathaway.

Goldman Sachs gave investors a look at the new normal on Wall Street - and many are concerned.

In some ways of Goldman latest results looked good.

On Tuesday the Bank results reported in the first quarter of $1.56 a share, nearly double analysts expectations. Some divisions such as investment banking and investment management showed improvement. And the expensive lifeline by Warren E. Buffett holding company, Berkshire Hathaway, the Bank paid Goldman last important temple from the financial crisis.

But strong on the difficulties of an investment bank in the postcrisis world focused investors instead on Goldman slow growth, offered.

In the trade and the rest of institutional client services, once the hallmark of the company's operations, sales fell by 22 percent, to $6.7 billion. Total profit fell in the first quarter by 21 percent, to 2.74 billion $ of $3.5 billion, including the unique hit from the repayment of Berkshire. Revenue fell to $11.9 billion of 12.8 billion US $. And the return on equity, a key measure of profitability, is heavily on a few years ago.

"Everyone is saying this sector dead money, is," said Roger Freeman, analyst at Barclays Capital. "I hear it over and over and Goldman is one, the".

Investors noted. The Goldman broke shares on Tuesday, drop by up to 3 percent, to $151.86, to 1.3 per cent. The stock is from almost 10 percent for the year.

It is as Goldman Sachs and the rest of Wall Street eliminated the earnings situation will be given the new mandate to take advantage of and hang up temper to more capital. The threat of the new financial regulation makes only an uncertain Outlook. Investment banks, and its shareholders have felt no clear, as the rules will have a business at a time when economic growth is already slow.

Goldman, which more than most companies born out of the crisis, is gesattelt not with many of the same problems as his rival. Bank of America still the lazy legal consequences struggle under the weight loans and mounting. Morgan Stanley pays 2008 for an investment by the Japanese Bank of Mitsubishi UFJ financial group, a business that will cost the company $900 million per year.

The company struck a note of optimism in terms of the quarter despite lackluster results. On a conference call with analysts, executives said that client activity had increased, even in the midst of further economic interests.

"We are pleased with our first quarter," Chief Executive said Lloyd C. Blankfein, in a statement. "In general improvement of the market and economic conditions, coupled with our strong client franchise, solid results produced." "Looking ahead, we continue to see indications of economic activity throughout the world promote."

Still, investors are nervous about Goldman prospects. Many big names have actively their exposure, been reduced including the Wellington management, based in Boston. It sold over a million shares in Goldman end of 2010, according to filings. Wellington refused to comment.

A concern is that Goldman-return on equity deterioration of. In the first quarter, Goldman Sachs return on equity was 12.2 per cent. It was 20.1 per cent a year and 38 percent at the beginning of 2009.

"" Most investors have only one question: "what is the return on equity go to?" ", said Mr Freeman of Barclays.""Is not clear the response, in the light of the uncertain regulatory environment."

The current return on equity is also far below Goldman the stated goal of 20 percent-a level, which closely to the company tracks the average since its initial public offering in 1999. But the company is not ready, review your goal down, was until it less "unknown variables are" close around its operating model, according to a person to the company that has not authorized to speak publicly about the matter.

Although analysts are confident, that is Goldman finally can increase over the course of time, it will be a hard slog in the near future.

Return on equity is the amount of money that delivers a company on each share. So if the total investor base is growing, Goldman must produce even higher yields to keep are the same. Currently, Goldman sits on $64 billion of shareholders shareholder equity, up from 46.6 billion US $ at the end of 2008, which means that it must work harder to generate the same return on equity.

To improve the gives the company could issue a number of one-time dividends or share buy-backs to reduce the capital. But that would be a tricky move right now. Regulators were to buy back large quantities of material, because they should have sufficient capital of an economic shock to let companies like Goldman. Also, to bucks Goldman capital let go until it knows what regulatory changes.

In the meantime, the company has not the same opportunities to increase profits. Before Goldman could increase profits up its leverage effect, ratchet wrench relying on borrowed money. With pressure from regulators, wet risk leverage ratio to 12.9 per cent dropped the company's gross at the end of the quarter, from 27.9 per cent at the beginning of the year 2008.

Mr Freeman said "until now, they were bound working with two hands behind the back". "Now they have only one hand, and it's still not easy."


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2011年4月19日星期二

Goldman Sachs believes that it is slow in India

By George Alexander and Ruth David Smith

In India, economic expansion led mergers and stock Records offerings last year. Goldman Sachs (GS), which is exercised to take advantage of the boom, progress can be slow and take advantage of the elusive deals.

CEO Lloyd c. Blankfein said that Goldman wanted to "be Goldman Sachs more place." That was not easy in India. The company does not have the licenses required for trade in the currency and to guarantee the obligations of the Government. India companies are reluctant to pay for advice on mergers. Banks accept tiny taxes to take public State enterprises because they want to build goodwill with the Government and the advance in the classification of the case. First part of sale of Goldman in the country this year may be a 1.3 billion offering of the Ministry of Finance of power belonging to the State, scheduled for may, for which it will be divided a symbolic amount of 1 rupee (2 ¢) with three other banks, according to two people with knowledge of the case. The Bank also accepted year last to handle the sale of shares for Power Grid Corp., belonging to the State of the India for about 4 ¢ fee. "This is an extremely competitive market," says Manisha Girotra, the CEO of UBS (UBS) the India operations. "Everyone here is because the promise is enormous."

To stimulate business, Goldman Sachs named Sonjoy Chatterjee, 42, President of the operations of the India in March. Chatterjee, who joined in June last as co - CEO of ICICI Bank, an second lender in the country, is the first Indian banker to lead the firm in the country, since it ended in a joint venture with Kotak Mahindra Bank in 2006. Vijay Karnani, a Goldman Sachs of 13-year veteran, was promoted to co - CEO with Chatterjee.

In the ranking for 12 months, Goldman Sachs rose to no. 2 in mergers and acquisitions and 13 by organizing sales of local shares, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That compares to the ninth place in advising on M & A involving Indian companies and 16 to purchase equity in the country within four years from April 1, 2006, just after the company at the end of its partnership with Kotak MahindraBloomberg data show.

The company advance was assisted by his role of Advisor Reliance Industries, led by billionaire Mukesh Ambani, which sold interests in 23 areas of oil and gas in India to BP in February for $ 7.2 billion. The relationship could lead to more work M & A of Goldman Sachs: dependency was undertaken more acquisitive of the India last year, with nine bids totaling $ 2.2 billion, Bloomberg data show.

Freeman & Co., a New York research firm, believes that total investment banking fresh in India were about 1 billion dollars last year, one-fifth of 4.9 billion for China. Annual turnover of Goldman Sachs in India of all its companies is about 100 million dollars, according to a report on 21 March by Guy Moszkowski and Steven j. Chubak, Bank of America analysts. It is a quarter of one percent of 39.2 billion of the Cabinet of incomes in the world last year.

Goldman Sachs is the only headlines foreign firm in India without a commercial banking licence necessary to engage in currency transactions, or permit the Government to take charge of the bonds. Goldman Sachs executives told analysts of Bank of America last month that the company has applied for a licence and that it expects to receive a three to six months, according to the report of. Edward Naylor, a spokesman for Goldman Sachs in Hong Kong, refused to comment, as did Chatterjee.

The India is among the emerging markets that Goldman Sachs while the company faces more restrictive rules in Europe and the United States on how it can deploy capital. The Bank aims to double income Asia outside the Japan "over the next years", to $ 10 billion, analysts of Bank of America wrote. Annual filing of the company with the Securities and Exchange Commission showed that Asia represents 21 percent of income before taxes and 18 per cent of income in 2010. He returned not to disclose or take advantage of the India. Blankfein, "GDP growth and the relative financial stability of many countries in growth are trends that could lead to revenue in the whole of our business opportunities," said a November Investor Conference in New York.

Goldman Sachs has agreed to buy based out of Mumbai Benchmark Asset Management, a provider of common funds and of negotiated Fund, last month. Terms were not disclosed. Assets managed by mutual funds investment more than tripled, to 6.8 billion rupees in the five years that was completed on December 31, according to the Association of the mutual funds of the India.

Chatterjee the trick will be to convince local businesses to pay for advisory work when rival companies are willing to sacrifice a fee to win market share. "Indian customers are very price-sensitive when it comes to costs," explains Joel Perlman, Chairman of London Copal partners, which provides research for investment banks and private equity firms. "The percentage of India costs will remain relatively small."

The bottom line: Goldman Sachs has perhaps had income of approximately 100 million dollars in India last year, a quarter of one percent of the total world.

With Christine Harper. Alexander is a reporter for Bloomberg News. David is a reporter for Bloomberg News.

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